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Google Puts a New Prediction Markets Ban on Chrome

negativeMarket moveMulti dayYahoo Finance ·8 Jul 2026Original article ↗
Oraklio AI Analysis

Direct regulatory/policy enforcement by Google affecting an area closely tied to Alphabet’s web distribution ecosystem (Chrome extensions) and potentially impacting related revenue/partnership narratives; likely to drive discussion and sentiment, though broader financial impact is uncertain.

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Google Puts a New Prediction Markets Ban on Chrome Lockridge Okoth Wed, July 8, 2026 at 9:58 PM GMT+2 2 min read Google has banned prediction market extensions from the Chrome Web Store under updated Developer Program Policies. Extensions that facilitate or enable real-money trades on predictive outcomes face enforcement starting August 1, 2026. The change adds a new distribution chokepoint for Polymarket and Kalshi just as sector volumes hit records.

Why Google is Blocking Prediction Market Extensions Google announced the changes on July 1 through the Chrome for Developers blog. The company expanded its Regulated Goods and Services policy to name predictive markets as prohibited products. Non-compliant extensions risk removal after the deadline.

The update reaches beyond event trading. Extensions may now collect only data strictly necessary to a disclosed single purpose. Developers must also prominently disclose every data practice and flag later changes.

A separate rule bans tools built to circumvent safety guardrails in AI-powered services. Google framed the overhaul as a trust measure in its official announcement. "Users should always have full visibility into how their data is handled, with the confidence that their extension ecosystem operates responsibly.

" Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens The stance cuts against Google's own products. Google Finance began integrating prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket in November 2025. The company now welcomes the sector's odds while blocking its trading tools.

Mainstream Momentum Meets Mounting Restrictions The ban lands on a sector trading at record scale. Combined monthly notional volume reached $291. 38 billion as of June 22, according to Dune data.

Prediction Markets Notional Value. Source: Dune However, restrictions keep stacking up. Argentina ordered a nationwide block of Polymarket in March, joining more than 30 countries.

That same ruling forced Google and Apple to pull Polymarket's apps for Argentine users. In the US, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is defending the sector in court. It's a lawsuit over a Kentucky prediction market crackdown followed by similar cases against states, including New York and Wisconsin.

Capital keeps flowing regardless. Kalshi reportedly seeks a $40 billion valuation, months after a $1 billion Series F. Meanwhile, a Wall Street Journal analysis found Polymarket users losing money in over 70% of accounts.

Just 0. 1% of accounts captured 67% of all profits. Prediction markets remain reachable through websites and mobile apps, so access itself survives.

Read the Original story Google Puts a New Prediction Markets Ban on Chrome by Lockridge Okoth at beincrypto.

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