Walmart (WMT) Stock Price Prediction: Where Our Price Target Sees the Stock Going Over the Next 12 Months

Walmart (WMT) Stock Price Prediction: Where Our Price Target Sees the Stock Going Over the Next 12 Months Joel South Sun, August 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM GMT+2 5 min read WMT AMZN COST NVDA Quick Read Walmart (WMT) sits 6% off its 52-week high, and our $131. 04 price target implies 16% upside with a BUY rating. Walmart's 26% eCommerce growth outpaces Amazon's (AMZN) retail segment, while Costco's (COST) richer valuation frames WMT's 39x P/E as expensive but not extreme.

Advertising surged 37% and marketplace sales climbed nearly 50% in Q1, fueling a bull case of $146 if Walmart's digital flywheel keeps compounding. Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Walmart didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today .

Walmart ( NASDAQ:WMT ) trades at $111. 74 as I write this, and our proprietary model sees healthy runway from here. Our 24/7 Wall St.

Price Target for Walmart is $131. 04 over the next 12 months, implying 17. 27% upside from current levels.

I rate the stock a BUY with a confidence level of 90%. The setup: durable comp momentum, a scaling advertising business and a defensive sector profile when consumer sentiment is fragile. Sundry Photography / iStock Editorial via Getty Images 24/7 Wall St.

Price Target Summary Metric Value Current Price $112. 87 24/7 Wall St. Price Target $131.

04 Upside 17. 27% Recommendation BUY Confidence Level 90% What the Recent Pullback Is Telling Us Shares of WMT are down nearly 17% from their YTD high on May 19. Admittedly, Walmart has cooled off, but that gives investors a more attractive entry.

The stock is now down 0. 9% YTD, but still higher by 8. 37% over the past year.

The May 21, 2026 Q1 FY27 report showed revenue of $175. 684 billion (up 6. 08% year over year) and adjusted EPS of 66 cents, beating consensus.

Global eCommerce grew 26%, advertising surged 37%, and Walmart U. S. comp sales rose 4.

1% ex-fuel. Shares sold off 7. 27% that day, a reaction more about expectations than execution.

Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Walmart didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today . How We Calculated $131.

04 Our model started with a trailing P/E-based price of $113. 01 and a forward P/E-based price of $112. 75, then applied a 30% weight to the analyst consensus target of $138.

59, arriving at a pre-adjustment weighted price of $120. 55. Our 247Factor adjustment of 1.

087 lifted the target, reflecting 86% bullish analyst sentiment, 19. 4% earnings growth, a low beta of 0. 603, and moderate retail sentiment.

The Case for $146 and Higher WMT Analyst Ratings — 24/7 Wall St. Our bull case points to $146. 22, or 29.

38% upside. High-margin businesses drive the path: global advertising grows at a 37% clip, marketplace sales climbed nearly 50% in Q1 (best in 10 quarters), and membership fee revenue rose 17. 4%.

Retail sales hit $763. 7 billion in May 2026, a 12-month high, while share gains among upper-income households broaden the customer mix. A fresh $30 billion repurchase authorization provides operating leverage and shareholder-return firepower.

Story Continues What Could Go Wrong Bears point to a rich valuation at a P/E of 39 and forward P/E of 38, well above retail peers. Consumer sentiment sits at just 44. 8, deep in recessionary territory.

Q1 free cash flow was negative $1. 9 billion on elevated CapEx, inventory grew 8. 9%, and Maximum Fair Pricing legislation created a 700 bps headwind in Health & Wellness.

Our bear case lands at $116. 96. Counterpoint: the FCF drag funds automation where about 50% of eCommerce fulfillment is already automated, which should compound margins.

AVGO Earnings Explorer — 24/7 Wall St. How Walmart Compares to Costco and Amazon Costco ( NASDAQ:COST ) trades at an even richer multiple than Walmart, framing WMT's ~39x P/E as expensive but not extreme within premium defensive retail. Costco's membership economics validate the market's willingness to pay up for recurring-revenue retail models, exactly the flywheel Walmart is building through Walmart+ and Sam's Club.

Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is the eCommerce and advertising benchmark. Walmart's 26% global eCommerce growth now outpaces Amazon's retail segment, and Walmart Connect's 44% ex-VIZIO growth suggests real share is being taken in retail media. Our 24/7 Wall St.

Price Target looks reasonable, arguably conservative given the ad segment's trajectory. Why the Setup Looks Attractive The 24/7 Wall St. Price Target of $131.

04, a BUY rating and 90% confidence reflect a rare combination: defensive earnings, digital growth and a stock down more than 13% over the past six months. The bullish path holds if advertising and membership continue scaling as they have. The cautious path takes hold if consumer sentiment at 44.

8 foreshadows a broader spending contraction that even Walmart cannot outrun. Walmart Price Prediction 2026–2030 Year 24/7 Wall St. Price Target 2026 $131.

04 2027 $144. 15 2028 $158. 56 2029 $170.

20 2030 $181. 99 These projections assume Walmart continues executing on automation, advertising, and international expansion. Significant upside could come from a PhonePe IPO or accelerated ad monetization, while tariff uncertainty and consumer sentiment weakness remain primary downside risks.

Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Walmart didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today . Contact editorial@247wallst.

com for any questions or corrections.